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2021-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 43.4% 56.6% -
Margin 44.1% 55.9% +1.3 (14.7 off)
Pythagorean 48.7% 51.3% -
Efficiency 52.8% 47.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.0% 53.0% -
Log Adjusted 47.0% 53.0% -
Points Off/Def 44.5% 55.5% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +16 (120-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Vucevic * 31 9-16 2-4 1-1 9 3 0 0 21 - -
Zach LaVine * 28 6-15 1-5 5-6 3 1 0 0 18 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 26 4-10 1-6 1-1 3 0 0 0 10 - -
Patrick Williams * 19 3-7 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 17 3-7 1-3 1-1 3 3 2 0 8 - -
Coby White 25 5-12 2-5 1-1 5 4 1 1 13 - -
Garrett Temple 22 2-5 0-3 0-0 3 4 1 0 4 - -
Thaddeus Young 22 5-11 0-1 0-1 6 9 0 0 10 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 13 3-4 1-1 1-1 1 3 0 0 8 - -
Al-Farouq Aminu 12 0-1 0-1 2-2 5 0 0 0 2 - -
Javonte Green 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 2 0 - -
Denzel Valentine 5 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 - -
Devon Dotson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Cristiano Felicio 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick White * 32 5-14 4-10 2-2 4 7 1 1 16 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 31 8-9 0-0 4-10 9 1 0 3 20 - -
Dejounte Murray * 31 7-14 0-0 0-0 8 8 2 0 14 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 31 7-14 0-0 3-4 4 7 4 0 17 - -
Keldon Johnson * 25 6-9 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 14 - -
Patty Mills 29 5-11 4-9 2-2 0 2 0 0 16 - -
Rudy Gay 20 4-9 2-5 1-2 6 2 1 2 11 - -
Drew Eubanks 16 2-3 0-0 4-6 5 1 1 0 8 - -
Luka Samanic 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Devin Vassell 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 - -
Quinndary Weatherspoon 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Tre Jones 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Cameron Reynolds 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter