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2021-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 28.6% 71.4% -
Bradley-Terry 31.6% 68.4% -
Margin 26.9% 73.1% +5.5 (27.5 off)
Pythagorean 44.6% 55.4% -
Efficiency 40.5% 59.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.2% 58.8% -
Log Adjusted 41.2% 58.8% -
Points Off/Def 40.2% 59.8% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -22 (107-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jae'Sean Tate * 32 5-10 0-0 0-0 9 3 1 3 10 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. * 30 10-15 3-5 2-3 4 2 0 0 25 - -
Kelly Olynyk * 25 5-8 4-6 2-2 4 4 3 0 16 - -
John Wall * 25 5-14 2-6 1-1 3 12 1 1 13 - -
Sterling Brown * 23 6-8 4-6 0-0 7 0 0 0 16 - -
Ben McLemore 26 4-11 2-6 2-3 1 0 1 0 12 - -
D.J. Augustin 24 8-14 2-5 2-2 3 4 0 0 20 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 23 3-3 1-1 1-1 6 1 0 1 8 - -
D.J. Wilson 16 2-3 0-0 1-1 3 3 1 2 5 - -
Anthony Lamb 7 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Justin Patton 5 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaden McDaniels * 35 6-10 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 1 14 - -
Anthony Edwards * 34 11-22 3-9 2-3 4 2 1 0 27 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 33 7-11 2-3 11-12 15 4 0 2 27 - -
Malik Beasley * 29 4-17 3-12 2-2 4 3 2 0 13 - -
Ricky Rubio * 26 1-5 1-4 1-1 4 10 3 1 4 - -
Jaylen Nowell 22 3-9 1-5 2-2 2 2 0 0 9 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 17 2-4 1-2 4-6 5 0 0 0 9 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 2 0 0 - -
Naz Reid 11 1-4 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 2 2 - -
Jake Layman 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jarrett Culver 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter