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2021-03-28

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 45.2% 54.8% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 40.1% 59.9% - ✗
Margin 40.3% 59.7% +2.2 ✗ (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 44.2% 55.8% - ✗
Efficiency 35.6% 64.4% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 35.5% 64.5% - ✗
Log Adjusted 35.5% 64.5% - ✗
Points Off/Def 35.4% 64.6% - ✗

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -6 (96-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alec Burks * 40 7-13 6-12 1-1 10 5 0 2 21 - -
RJ Barrett * 38 8-22 3-10 2-2 7 7 1 0 21 - -
Taj Gibson * 34 3-7 0-1 0-2 8 4 0 4 6 - -
Elfrid Payton * 14 4-7 1-2 0-0 1 4 1 0 9 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 - -
Nerlens Noel 31 3-7 0-0 0-0 11 2 2 3 6 - -
Derrick Rose 29 6-15 1-5 0-0 1 1 2 1 13 - -
Immanuel Quickley 26 4-14 4-10 1-1 3 5 1 1 13 - -
Kevin Knox II 11 1-3 1-3 2-2 2 0 1 0 5 - -
Obi Toppin 7 3-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 6 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Nwora * 36 7-18 4-8 3-6 10 2 1 0 21 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo * 36 8-15 4-5 3-5 10 5 2 0 23 - -
Brook Lopez * 30 6-11 0-1 0-0 10 1 4 2 12 - -
Sam Merrill * 28 3-10 2-7 0-0 3 5 2 1 8 - -
Axel Toupane * 27 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 - -
Bryn Forbes 28 3-11 1-6 3-3 2 3 1 0 10 - -
Pat Connaughton 28 4-9 3-6 1-2 4 2 1 1 12 - -
Mamadi Diakite 23 4-9 0-2 0-0 7 2 0 2 8 - -

* = starter