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2021-03-27

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 44.8% 55.2% - ✓
Margin 52.2% 47.8% -0.5 ✗ (14.5 off)
Pythagorean 30.9% 69.1% - ✓
Efficiency 13.0% 87.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 14.4% 85.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 14.4% 85.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 21.5% 78.5% - ✓

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +14 (100-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jarrett Allen * 36 4-10 1-2 4-8 11 5 1 1 13 - -
Darius Garland * 33 6-17 1-6 1-1 2 5 1 0 14 - -
Larry Nance Jr. * 27 7-13 1-2 2-2 10 5 0 1 17 - -
Isaac Okoro * 25 2-3 0-0 2-2 1 2 1 0 6 - -
Cedi Osman * 24 2-8 1-5 1-4 1 0 2 0 6 - -
Dean Wade 24 2-8 0-4 0-0 4 3 2 0 4 - -
Brodric Thomas 19 0-7 0-4 5-6 3 2 2 1 5 - -
Damyean Dotson 17 1-2 0-0 2-3 1 1 1 0 4 - -
Quinn Cook 14 3-8 1-3 2-2 1 1 0 0 9 - -
Lamar Stevens 10 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 6 - -
Dylan Windler 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dennis Schroder * 31 7-12 1-2 2-2 5 7 4 1 17 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 28 2-8 1-5 2-2 2 0 1 0 7 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 27 2-7 0-3 0-0 8 7 0 0 4 - -
Markieff Morris * 27 5-10 3-7 0-0 5 2 1 1 13 - -
Marc Gasol * 15 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 1 4 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 32 6-11 1-4 2-4 3 3 2 0 15 - -
Montrezl Harrell 29 10-15 0-0 4-8 10 2 2 0 24 - -
Alex Caruso 23 1-4 0-3 3-4 3 1 4 0 5 - -
Wesley Matthews 18 2-4 0-1 5-5 4 0 0 0 9 - -
Devontae Cacok 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 1 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Kostas Antetokounmpo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter