Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.5% | 71.5% | +5.1 | ✗ (21.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -16 (108-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 36 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 8-9 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 34 | 14-19 | 4-5 | 6-7 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 38 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 29 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 18 | - | - | |
| Tony Snell * | 23 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic * | 21 | 5-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter | 27 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari | 20 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Solomon Hill | 20 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Skylar Mays | 11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Nathan Knight | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Brandon Goodwin | 2 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Wiggins * | 33 | 10-19 | 4-7 | 5-7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 29 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole * | 32 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 28 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 3-7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| James Wiseman * | 26 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Nico Mannion | 25 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kent Bazemore | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Mychal Mulder | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Eric Paschall | 8 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
* = starter