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2021-03-27

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 33.3% 66.7% -
Margin 29.1% 70.9% +4.9 (19.9 off)
Pythagorean 44.4% 55.6% -
Efficiency 39.4% 60.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.4% 63.6% -
Log Adjusted 36.4% 63.6% -
Points Off/Def 36.8% 63.2% -

Actual: Dallas Mavericks -15 (94-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 34 6-11 1-3 9-12 15 5 0 0 22 - -
Caris LeVert * 34 4-14 2-7 0-0 5 3 0 0 10 - -
Myles Turner * 33 3-10 3-8 0-0 7 3 2 7 9 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 28 7-13 6-9 2-4 6 1 1 0 22 - -
Justin Holiday * 21 2-6 2-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 6 - -
T.J. McConnell 24 5-9 0-1 0-0 1 4 3 0 10 - -
Edmond Sumner 17 3-7 2-4 2-2 4 2 1 0 10 - -
Doug McDermott 15 4-6 4-6 0-0 1 3 0 0 12 - -
Jeremy Lamb 14 1-5 0-3 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 - -
Goga Bitadze 10 3-5 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 3 6 - -
JaKarr Sampson 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Cassius Stanley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Aaron Holiday 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Brian Bowen II 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kristaps Porzingis * 37 12-28 3-9 4-6 18 3 0 1 31 - -
Josh Richardson * 35 4-14 2-7 1-2 4 3 2 1 11 - -
Jalen Brunson * 33 5-13 0-2 0-2 4 2 0 0 10 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith * 33 4-6 0-2 0-0 5 2 1 0 8 - -
Maxi Kleber * 32 1-4 1-4 0-0 6 1 0 2 3 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. 23 7-14 2-7 0-0 5 1 0 0 16 - -
Trey Burke 17 3-8 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 6 - -
Dwight Powell 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 - -
Josh Green 8 3-5 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 7 - -
Tyler Bey 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Nate Hinton 3 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter