Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.6% | 31.4% | -4.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -5 (108-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 41 | 17-30 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 37 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 39 | 10-17 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 39 | 10-18 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 36 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 30 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 21 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 16 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Adams * | 41 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 39 | 5-13 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Zion Williamson * | 38 | 16-19 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 39 | - | - | |
| Brandon Ingram * | 36 | 5-17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Eric Bledsoe * | 34 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart | 27 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kira Lewis Jr. | 16 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter