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2021-03-27

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 28.6% 71.4% -
Bradley-Terry 31.6% 68.4% -
Margin 26.9% 73.1% +5.5 (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 44.6% 55.4% -
Efficiency 40.5% 59.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.2% 58.8% -
Log Adjusted 41.2% 58.8% -
Points Off/Def 40.2% 59.8% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +6 (107-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jae'Sean Tate * 38 4-8 0-3 2-2 7 2 2 2 10 - -
John Wall * 37 6-25 1-7 1-2 3 15 2 2 14 - -
Sterling Brown * 36 4-9 3-5 0-0 11 1 0 2 11 - -
Christian Wood * 36 9-16 2-6 4-6 9 1 0 1 24 - -
Ben McLemore * 35 7-15 7-14 0-0 3 3 1 0 21 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 24 1-3 0-2 0-0 7 0 0 1 2 - -
D.J. Augustin 20 4-5 2-3 3-3 2 4 0 0 13 - -
D.J. Wilson 11 2-6 2-4 0-0 5 0 0 1 6 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Karl-Anthony Towns * 35 9-26 4-9 7-8 16 8 0 1 29 - -
Anthony Edwards * 33 4-17 2-7 2-2 6 2 1 0 12 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 33 5-5 2-2 2-2 4 0 0 2 14 - -
Ricky Rubio * 27 0-7 0-3 2-2 3 8 2 0 2 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt * 15 2-5 0-2 1-2 3 0 0 0 5 - -
Jaylen Nowell 30 4-14 0-6 0-1 5 5 3 0 8 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 28 7-10 2-5 3-4 9 1 2 0 19 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 20 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 4 2 0 2 - -
Naz Reid 16 7-14 0-2 2-3 2 2 2 0 16 - -

* = starter