Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.5% | 43.5% | -1.4 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -8 (114-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Smart * | 33 | 8-15 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jayson Tatum * | 32 | 13-18 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 34 | - | - | |
| Kemba Walker * | 31 | 6-16 | 3-10 | 6-6 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 30 | 6-15 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 31 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 19 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith | 13 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Moritz Wagner | 9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tacko Fall | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Carsen Edwards | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khris Middleton * | 28 | 7-11 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 28 | 5-15 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 27 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 27 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 19 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 27 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 22 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Sam Merrill | 19 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 17 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 7 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Mamadi Diakite | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Axel Toupane | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter