Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.7% | 41.3% | -1.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -4 (100-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Paul * | 35 | 8-16 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Mikal Bridges * | 35 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 33 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder * | 30 | 3-11 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 29 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Dario Saric | 18 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Cameron Johnson | 18 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Langston Galloway | 13 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 11 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet * | 39 | 8-18 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 38 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 37 | 8-17 | 0-6 | 10-11 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 34 | 4-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 31 | 4-11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Rodney Hood | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Malachi Flynn | 14 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Aron Baynes | 14 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 11 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter