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2021-03-26

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 69.1% 30.9% -
Bradley-Terry 57.9% 42.1% -
Margin 68.4% 31.6% -4.3 (26.3 off)
Pythagorean 53.1% 46.9% -
Efficiency 63.2% 36.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.3% 39.7% -
Log Adjusted 60.3% 39.7% -
Points Off/Def 53.3% 46.7% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings +22 (141-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 33 10-18 3-5 3-3 10 4 0 0 26 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 32 8-17 3-6 0-0 4 2 0 0 19 - -
James Wiseman * 29 3-8 0-1 0-0 8 0 0 0 6 - -
Jordan Poole * 29 5-13 2-6 5-5 3 5 0 0 17 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson * 26 6-6 3-3 0-0 6 4 2 0 15 - -
Nico Mannion 29 5-12 5-8 4-4 1 3 0 0 19 - -
Damion Lee 19 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 5 - -
Kevon Looney 18 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 6 - -
Kent Bazemore 16 3-6 0-2 0-0 3 4 1 0 6 - -
Alen Smailagic 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Mychal Mulder 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Harrison Barnes * 36 1-10 0-4 0-0 6 5 2 0 2 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 35 16-22 3-7 9-10 2 7 3 0 44 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 33 7-11 6-7 1-1 0 1 0 0 21 - -
Richaun Holmes * 32 10-14 0-0 5-6 11 1 0 2 25 - -
Buddy Hield * 29 6-11 4-9 0-0 6 6 0 1 16 - -
Kyle Guy 22 6-9 4-6 1-2 6 4 0 0 17 - -
DaQuan Jeffries 21 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 5 - -
Chimezie Metu 16 4-5 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 1 8 - -
Justin James 11 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Robert Woodard II 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter