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2021-03-26

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 56.6% 43.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 45.0% 55.0% - ✗
Margin 48.6% 51.4% +0.3 ✗ (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 50.4% 49.6% - ✓
Efficiency 59.6% 40.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 55.6% 44.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 55.6% 44.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 48.9% 51.1% - ✗

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -8 (101-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 39 8-10 0-1 1-1 6 5 2 1 17 - -
Ben Simmons * 38 1-7 0-1 7-11 7 12 2 1 9 - -
Danny Green * 32 9-14 8-12 2-2 5 0 1 2 28 - -
Mike Scott * 28 2-8 2-8 0-0 5 2 2 2 6 - -
Seth Curry * 27 7-13 4-8 1-1 1 2 0 0 19 - -
Matisse Thybulle 22 1-6 0-5 0-0 7 1 4 0 2 - -
Shake Milton 20 4-10 2-6 2-3 2 2 0 1 12 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 15 2-5 1-2 1-2 1 0 1 0 6 - -
Paul Reed 8 2-4 0-2 0-1 3 0 1 0 4 - -
Dwight Howard 6 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 6 - -
Tyrese Maxey 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 41 9-21 3-9 4-5 9 0 1 0 25 - -
Dennis Schroder * 38 6-14 0-1 8-9 3 11 3 0 20 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 30 6-10 3-5 4-4 4 3 2 0 19 - -
Markieff Morris * 15 2-3 1-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 5 - -
Marc Gasol * 15 1-2 1-2 2-4 2 2 0 0 5 - -
Montrezl Harrell 32 8-13 0-0 4-8 8 1 1 0 20 - -
Wesley Matthews 28 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 1 2 0 3 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 18 1-6 0-2 1-1 3 2 0 0 3 - -
Alex Caruso 14 0-4 0-1 1-2 6 2 1 0 1 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter