Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.6% | 58.4% | +1.9 | ✗ (21.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -20 (108-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxi Kleber * | 32 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 31 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 28 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 28 | 11-23 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 22 | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 27 | 6-16 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 29 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 21 | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 27 | 7-17 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 12 | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 19 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - | |
| Trey Burke | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Tyler Bey | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Josh Green | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Nate Hinton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards * | 37 | 9-22 | 3-12 | 8-9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 16 | - | |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 33 | 8-20 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 13 | - | |
| Ricky Rubio * | 30 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - | |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 28 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 35 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 5-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - | |
| Jaylen Nowell | 24 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - | |
| Naz Reid | 14 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - | |
| Jake Layman | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - | |
| Jarrett Culver | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
* = starter