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2021-03-25

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 61.4% 38.6% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 66.4% 33.6% - ✗
Margin 73.8% 26.2% -5.7 ✗ (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 66.5% 33.5% - ✗
Efficiency 87.0% 13.0% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 85.8% 14.2% - ✗
Log Adjusted 85.8% 14.2% - ✗
Points Off/Def 74.9% 25.1% - ✗

Actual: Orlando Magic +1 (112-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deandre Ayton * 33 8-12 0-0 5-5 9 0 1 0 21 - -
Devin Booker * 32 9-21 1-5 6-6 7 7 3 0 25 - -
Chris Paul * 32 8-15 1-3 6-6 6 7 1 0 23 - -
Mikal Bridges * 30 2-9 1-7 0-0 2 2 0 1 5 - -
Jae Crowder * 29 5-7 4-6 3-5 3 1 2 0 17 - -
Torrey Craig 19 4-7 2-2 0-0 8 2 1 1 10 - -
Cameron Johnson 18 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Cameron Payne 17 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 2 1 1 0 - -
Dario Saric 14 2-6 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 4 - -
Langston Galloway 11 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Vucevic * 33 11-19 3-5 2-3 14 4 1 1 27 - -
Aaron Gordon * 33 5-15 0-5 3-4 7 3 0 2 13 - -
Evan Fournier * 32 8-16 4-9 1-1 0 2 0 1 21 - -
Al-Farouq Aminu * 27 3-8 0-3 0-0 10 1 0 1 6 - -
Michael Carter-Williams * 23 3-10 1-4 1-1 3 3 2 0 8 - -
James Ennis III 27 1-6 1-6 2-2 7 2 0 0 5 - -
Dwayne Bacon 23 4-7 0-1 3-4 3 2 0 0 11 - -
Chuma Okeke 20 6-6 4-4 1-2 3 0 0 0 17 - -
Khem Birch 14 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Chasson Randle 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter