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2021-03-24

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 67.9% 32.1% -
Bradley-Terry 47.0% 53.0% -
Margin 56.5% 43.5% -1.4 (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 41.9% 58.1% -
Efficiency 28.9% 71.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.4% 68.6% -
Log Adjusted 31.4% 68.6% -
Points Off/Def 33.2% 66.8% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +2 (121-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 37 7-19 1-6 3-3 8 5 1 2 18 - -
Marcus Smart * 37 3-13 2-10 4-4 2 6 1 1 12 - -
Kemba Walker * 35 9-18 5-9 0-0 2 6 3 1 23 - -
Jaylen Brown * 33 10-16 4-7 0-0 10 2 0 0 24 - -
Daniel Theis * 31 4-9 1-4 1-1 2 1 0 2 10 - -
Robert Williams III 19 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 6 - -
Grant Williams 18 2-4 1-3 0-0 5 1 3 0 5 - -
Jeff Teague 16 5-7 3-4 2-2 3 2 1 0 15 - -
Semi Ojeleye 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Payton Pritchard 4 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khris Middleton * 35 11-20 2-4 3-6 13 4 0 0 27 - -
Jrue Holiday * 35 6-16 1-4 0-0 2 3 2 0 13 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 32 4-11 1-3 4-7 8 7 1 1 13 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 31 5-7 5-6 2-2 4 1 0 1 17 - -
Brook Lopez * 30 7-14 1-5 2-2 5 0 3 1 17 - -
Pat Connaughton 27 2-4 1-3 0-0 6 3 1 1 5 - -
P.J. Tucker 18 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 1 3 - -
Bobby Portis 16 7-10 4-6 3-3 4 1 1 0 21 - -
Sam Merrill 8 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter