Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.3% | 42.7% | -1.6 | ✗ (25.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +24 (135-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 34 | 8-17 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 29 | 8-14 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 28 | 7-13 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 23 | 0-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 22 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 20 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 19 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 17 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| R.J. Hampton | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 9 | 3-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 8 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 34 | 8-16 | 3-7 | 8-9 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 33 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 30 | 5-12 | 5-9 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 28 | 8-16 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Norman Powell * | 24 | 8-12 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Paul Watson | 20 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| DeAndre' Bembry | 20 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Malachi Flynn | 5 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Yuta Watanabe | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Matt Thomas | 4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Stanley Johnson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Aron Baynes | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter