Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.8% | 61.2% | +2.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +5 (116-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerami Grant * | 31 | 10-20 | 2-6 | 7-9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 20 | - | |
| Saddiq Bey * | 30 | 6-12 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - | |
| Mason Plumlee * | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 20 | - | |
| Delon Wright * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - | |
| Frank Jackson * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - | |
| Josh Jackson | 26 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - | |
| Wayne Ellington | 22 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart | 18 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - | |
| Dennis Smith Jr. | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - | |
| Sekou Doumbouya | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Tyler Cook | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - | |
| Saben Lee | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 33 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - | |
| Caris LeVert * | 33 | 10-19 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 21 | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 32 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 31 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - | |
| Justin Holiday * | 29 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - | |
| Edmond Sumner | 15 | 7-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - | |
| Jeremy Lamb | 14 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 11 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
* = starter