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2021-03-23

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 50.1% 49.9% -
Bradley-Terry 54.8% 45.2% -
Margin 52.6% 47.4% -0.6 (17.6 off)
Pythagorean 49.8% 50.2% -
Efficiency 55.2% 44.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.5% 44.5% -
Log Adjusted 55.5% 44.5% -
Points Off/Def 49.4% 50.6% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +17 (128-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dennis Schroder * 35 2-10 1-2 10-12 4 7 2 0 15 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 33 6-14 4-8 0-0 10 7 1 0 16 - -
Markieff Morris * 27 6-14 3-8 1-1 5 1 0 0 16 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 21 1-7 1-3 0-0 0 3 0 0 3 - -
Devontae Cacok * 13 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 4 - -
Montrezl Harrell 33 5-10 0-0 8-12 6 0 0 2 18 - -
Alex Caruso 24 3-5 2-2 2-5 3 2 2 0 10 - -
Wesley Matthews 20 5-9 4-8 0-0 2 1 1 0 14 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 19 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 4 2 0 5 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 7 3-5 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 8 - -
Kostas Antetokounmpo 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 2 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 34 14-21 4-6 4-4 3 4 0 0 36 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker * 34 7-14 3-9 1-2 7 3 1 0 18 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 33 1-8 0-3 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 - -
Zion Williamson * 28 9-13 0-0 9-10 9 5 1 0 27 - -
Steven Adams * 25 6-6 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 12 - -
Josh Hart 26 1-9 0-4 0-0 15 5 5 0 2 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 20 5-9 3-5 3-3 1 6 0 2 16 - -
Jaxson Hayes 19 4-6 0-0 7-7 5 2 1 0 15 - -
Nicolo Melli 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Naji Marshall 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Will Magnay 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter