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2021-03-23

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards New York Knicks Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 24.7% 75.3% - โœ“
Margin 14.7% 85.3% +9.7 โœ“ (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 40.9% 59.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 30.0% 70.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 33.1% 66.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 33.0% 67.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 34.5% 65.5% - โœ“

Actual: New York Knicks +18 (131-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rui Hachimura * 34 5-13 1-3 0-0 7 1 0 0 11 - -
Bradley Beal * 32 6-15 0-3 10-10 4 4 1 0 22 - -
Russell Westbrook * 28 3-14 0-3 8-10 4 12 2 0 14 - -
Garrison Mathews * 21 1-1 1-1 2-3 4 0 0 0 5 - -
Alex Len * 11 2-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 3 5 - -
Moritz Wagner 23 3-4 1-2 4-4 1 3 1 0 11 - -
Deni Avdija 21 5-7 2-4 2-3 4 0 0 0 14 - -
Raul Neto 18 3-8 1-2 1-2 3 1 1 0 8 - -
Isaac Bonga 15 2-3 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 1 4 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 15 3-5 2-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 8 - -
Robin Lopez 7 3-3 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 1 6 - -
Cassius Winston 5 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 - -
Anthony Gill 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 39 8-18 1-4 4-5 5 5 0 2 21 - -
Julius Randle * 37 13-24 7-10 4-5 6 2 0 0 37 - -
Reggie Bullock * 30 3-7 3-7 1-1 2 3 1 1 10 - -
Elfrid Payton * 20 3-8 0-0 1-2 5 4 3 0 7 - -
Nerlens Noel * 17 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 2 6 - -
Mitchell Robinson 30 7-9 0-0 2-2 12 2 0 3 16 - -
Alec Burks 29 6-12 2-2 6-6 3 3 1 0 20 - -
Immanuel Quickley 12 4-8 3-6 3-3 0 0 0 0 14 - -
Frank Ntilikina 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -
Obi Toppin 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jared Harper 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Kevin Knox II 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter