Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.7% | 27.3% | -5.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -11 (99-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 37 | 8-21 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 36 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 36 | 11-17 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 32 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 27 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 22 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 11 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Fournier * | 36 | 10-18 | 5-12 | 6-8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 35 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Nikola Vucevic * | 33 | 8-25 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Michael Carter-Williams * | 32 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Al-Farouq Aminu * | 29 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| James Ennis III | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dwayne Bacon | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chuma Okeke | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Khem Birch | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Gary Clark | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter