Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.1% | 73.9% | +5.7 | ✓ (21.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +27 (140-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 32 | 9-17 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert * | 31 | 7-17 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott * | 29 | 9-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday * | 23 | 1-10 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Edmond Sumner * | 15 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 31 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Lamb | 27 | 8-14 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 18 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 16 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Cassius Stanley | 4 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kelan Martin | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Lecque | 3 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pat Connaughton * | 33 | 7-9 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 31 | 10-21 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 29 | 11-15 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 28 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 19 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 29 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 25 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sam Merrill | 5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Mamadi Diakite | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Axel Toupane | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter