Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.4% | 44.6% | -1.2 | ✗ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +6 (132-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown * | 40 | 11-24 | 3-11 | 2-3 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 39 | 5-14 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jeff Teague * | 39 | 10-12 | 2-2 | 4-7 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Semi Ojeleye * | 33 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Daniel Theis * | 25 | 5-12 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III | 27 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 19 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith | 17 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 16 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Javonte Green | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tremont Waters | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 40 | 12-25 | 1-5 | 4-7 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 37 | 10-22 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson * | 33 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 33 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 33 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Justise Winslow | 21 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 19 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane | 18 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton | 14 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter