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2021-03-23

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 42.8% 57.2% -
Bradley-Terry 49.0% 51.0% -
Margin 49.8% 50.2% +0.0 (18.0 off)
Pythagorean 56.7% 43.3% -
Efficiency 69.9% 30.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 66.6% 33.4% -
Log Adjusted 66.7% 33.3% -
Points Off/Def 56.9% 43.1% -

Actual: Houston Rockets +18 (117-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 40 9-17 4-11 5-5 8 2 4 0 27 - -
Kyle Lowry * 36 6-13 2-7 3-3 4 8 0 2 17 - -
Pascal Siakam * 35 9-18 1-3 2-3 10 3 1 1 21 - -
Norman Powell * 35 8-18 1-8 2-3 2 3 1 0 19 - -
Stanley Johnson * 16 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Paul Watson 22 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Chris Boucher 22 1-7 0-4 2-3 10 0 0 2 4 - -
Malachi Flynn 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 6 1-4 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Aron Baynes 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Patrick McCaw 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jae'Sean Tate * 40 8-9 3-4 3-6 6 5 2 0 22 - -
Danuel House Jr. * 36 4-5 2-3 2-3 3 6 0 1 12 - -
John Wall * 36 8-30 1-7 2-2 11 10 1 2 19 - -
Sterling Brown * 33 7-10 4-7 2-2 10 2 0 1 20 - -
Christian Wood * 28 8-15 2-4 1-1 4 1 1 0 19 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 19 1-6 1-2 4-4 8 1 1 2 7 - -
D.J. Augustin 17 1-4 0-3 2-2 2 3 1 0 4 - -
D.J. Wilson 15 2-4 0-0 3-3 2 0 0 0 7 - -
Ben McLemore 11 2-7 1-6 2-3 1 0 1 1 7 - -

* = starter