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2021-03-22

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 51.8% 48.2% -
Margin 63.3% 36.7% -3.0 (37.0 off)
Pythagorean 48.2% 51.8% -
Efficiency 51.7% 48.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.7% 48.3% -
Log Adjusted 51.7% 48.3% -
Points Off/Def 45.8% 54.2% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -40 (92-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Richardson * 29 8-11 2-4 3-3 3 4 0 0 21 - -
Luka Doncic * 29 13-19 8-9 3-6 7 4 0 0 37 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith * 28 4-8 3-6 2-2 5 2 0 0 13 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 25 3-7 2-4 4-4 8 4 1 2 12 - -
Maxi Kleber * 25 3-4 2-3 0-0 7 1 1 0 8 - -
Jalen Brunson 19 2-7 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. 18 4-9 1-5 2-2 6 0 0 0 11 - -
Dwight Powell 13 4-4 1-1 2-2 2 1 0 1 11 - -
Wes Iwundu 12 1-3 0-0 1-1 5 0 1 0 3 - -
Josh Green 9 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 4 - -
Trey Burke 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Nate Hinton 8 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 4 - -
Tyler Bey 6 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Boban Marjanovic 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Robert Covington * 31 2-5 2-4 0-0 6 2 2 1 6 - -
Damian Lillard * 29 7-16 0-7 5-5 1 4 1 0 19 - -
CJ McCollum * 23 6-15 0-5 1-1 2 1 1 0 13 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 20 3-4 1-2 1-2 3 0 1 1 8 - -
Enes Kanter * 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 4 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 21 6-13 3-7 1-2 2 1 2 0 16 - -
Carmelo Anthony 21 2-9 0-4 2-2 2 1 0 0 6 - -
Nassir Little 21 4-9 2-5 4-5 2 1 0 0 14 - -
Rodney Hood 18 1-5 0-2 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 - -
Anfernee Simons 12 1-5 1-2 1-2 0 1 0 0 4 - -
Harry Giles III 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 - -
CJ Elleby 12 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter