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2021-03-22

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 16.2% 83.8% -
Bradley-Terry 31.8% 68.2% -
Margin 25.7% 74.3% +5.8 (11.2 off)
Pythagorean 44.1% 55.9% -
Efficiency 35.6% 64.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.1% 63.9% -
Log Adjusted 36.1% 63.9% -
Points Off/Def 36.3% 63.7% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +17 (111-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 36 5-16 2-8 1-2 6 6 1 0 13 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 30 2-7 1-4 2-2 1 1 0 0 7 - -
Dennis Schroder * 29 8-14 2-4 4-5 1 3 0 0 22 - -
Markieff Morris * 23 1-6 0-2 0-0 8 2 0 0 2 - -
Wesley Matthews * 16 0-5 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Montrezl Harrell 34 10-13 0-0 3-8 10 0 0 1 23 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 28 6-16 0-2 5-6 6 3 1 1 17 - -
Alex Caruso 24 2-5 0-1 3-3 5 4 0 0 7 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Devontae Cacok 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 - -
Kostas Antetokounmpo 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 33 5-9 0-2 0-0 6 1 1 1 10 - -
Devin Booker * 33 11-22 1-5 3-6 9 4 1 0 26 - -
Deandre Ayton * 32 10-13 0-0 6-7 8 2 0 1 26 - -
Chris Paul * 32 3-11 0-3 5-6 10 13 3 1 11 - -
Jae Crowder * 30 4-10 3-8 0-0 5 2 1 1 11 - -
Cameron Payne 18 1-3 1-2 2-2 1 4 0 0 5 - -
Dario Saric 15 1-6 0-3 2-2 2 2 0 0 4 - -
Cameron Johnson 15 3-4 2-2 0-0 3 0 0 2 8 - -
Abdel Nader 10 2-2 1-1 0-0 5 2 0 0 5 - -
Langston Galloway 8 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 - -
Torrey Craig 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Jevon Carter 0 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jalen Smith 0 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter