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2021-03-22

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 48.9% 51.1% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 41.1% 58.9% - ✗
Margin 37.2% 62.8% +2.9 ✗ (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 50.7% 49.3% - ✓
Efficiency 60.5% 39.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 59.4% 40.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 59.4% 40.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 51.9% 48.1% - ✓

Actual: New York Knicks -1 (100-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Simmons * 37 8-17 0-0 0-2 8 4 1 1 16 - -
Tobias Harris * 35 5-18 1-3 9-11 4 4 2 0 20 - -
Danny Green * 32 4-8 3-5 0-0 3 1 5 3 11 - -
Furkan Korkmaz * 28 4-9 3-8 1-2 0 1 2 0 12 - -
Tony Bradley * 19 0-1 0-0 0-2 6 2 0 0 0 - -
Dwight Howard 32 2-4 0-0 0-0 13 2 0 2 4 - -
Shake Milton 29 9-15 1-3 2-3 3 3 1 1 21 - -
Matisse Thybulle 18 2-5 2-5 0-0 1 1 0 2 6 - -
Mike Scott 16 1-1 1-1 2-3 3 0 1 0 5 - -
Tyrese Maxey 14 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 6 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Reggie Bullock * 46 2-5 2-3 0-0 4 3 2 0 6 - -
Julius Randle * 46 7-23 4-7 6-8 7 3 5 0 24 - -
RJ Barrett * 39 9-17 0-3 1-2 8 4 1 0 19 - -
Nerlens Noel * 36 5-6 0-0 3-5 10 0 2 1 13 - -
Immanuel Quickley * 25 4-12 2-6 0-2 3 0 0 0 10 - -
Alec Burks 29 8-17 2-3 2-2 6 4 3 1 20 - -
Frank Ntilikina 17 1-3 1-2 1-2 0 1 0 0 4 - -
Mitchell Robinson 16 2-5 0-0 0-2 6 1 0 0 4 - -
Obi Toppin 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter