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2021-03-21

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 49.2% 50.8% -
Margin 48.4% 51.6% +0.3 (14.3 off)
Pythagorean 51.8% 48.2% -
Efficiency 60.3% 39.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.1% 42.9% -
Log Adjusted 57.1% 42.9% -
Points Off/Def 49.8% 50.2% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -14 (86-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Patrick Williams * 34 5-5 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 2 10 - -
Zach LaVine * 32 6-16 3-7 3-3 3 1 0 1 18 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 28 6-15 3-9 1-1 8 0 0 1 16 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 27 4-9 0-1 0-0 2 9 3 1 8 - -
Thaddeus Young * 20 3-9 0-0 2-2 8 5 3 0 8 - -
Denzel Valentine 18 3-5 3-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 9 - -
Otto Porter Jr. 18 1-3 1-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 3 - -
Coby White 16 2-7 1-2 2-2 3 4 2 0 7 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 15 3-5 3-4 0-2 0 2 0 0 9 - -
Daniel Gafford 13 4-4 0-0 0-0 11 0 0 2 8 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. 13 0-2 0-0 4-4 3 0 0 1 4 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerami Grant * 35 9-22 1-7 7-9 1 2 1 0 26 - -
Saddiq Bey * 35 1-9 1-6 0-0 4 2 0 0 3 - -
Frank Jackson * 30 5-12 1-4 1-2 5 0 0 0 12 - -
Mason Plumlee * 28 3-4 0-0 6-8 10 3 4 2 12 - -
Delon Wright * 26 4-8 0-2 0-0 3 4 1 0 8 - -
Josh Jackson 24 1-12 0-3 2-2 2 2 1 0 4 - -
Isaiah Stewart 23 5-8 1-2 0-0 6 0 1 2 11 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 18 3-5 0-1 1-2 4 5 2 1 7 - -
Tyler Cook 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Saben Lee 7 1-2 0-0 1-2 0 2 1 0 3 - -

* = starter