Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 19.1% | 80.9% | +7.9 | ✗ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -5 (108-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Adams * | 36 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Brandon Ingram * | 35 | 11-23 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Zion Williamson * | 34 | 9-13 | 1-1 | 11-14 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Eric Bledsoe * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 30 | 8-15 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart | 29 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kira Lewis Jr. | 16 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Nicolo Melli | 13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barton * | 36 | 7-19 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 35 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 34 | 9-16 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 34 | 13-19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 29 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 22 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 19 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter