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2021-03-21

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 33.8% 66.2% -
Margin 27.0% 73.0% +5.5 (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 38.9% 61.1% -
Efficiency 22.4% 77.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.4% 73.6% -
Log Adjusted 26.4% 73.6% -
Points Off/Def 28.5% 71.5% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +7 (120-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 38 8-18 1-3 5-6 3 13 1 2 22 - -
Derrick White * 33 3-14 0-8 0-0 4 6 0 0 6 - -
Keldon Johnson * 33 7-15 2-4 1-1 8 4 0 0 17 - -
Lonnie Walker IV * 32 13-21 5-9 0-0 6 1 2 0 31 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 25 4-7 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 1 8 - -
Rudy Gay 26 5-11 2-5 3-3 6 0 1 0 15 - -
Devin Vassell 24 3-6 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 7 - -
Drew Eubanks 17 3-3 1-1 0-0 3 2 0 1 7 - -
Tre Jones 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 - -
Quinndary Weatherspoon 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khris Middleton * 36 9-16 3-4 2-2 5 3 1 0 23 - -
Jrue Holiday * 34 8-16 2-4 3-3 5 3 0 1 21 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 33 9-18 2-5 6-7 8 15 0 0 26 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 30 5-13 1-7 1-2 13 3 3 0 12 - -
Brook Lopez * 27 3-8 1-5 4-4 4 0 1 0 11 - -
Pat Connaughton 28 4-7 3-6 0-0 6 0 0 0 11 - -
Bryn Forbes 19 4-6 2-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 10 - -
Bobby Portis 15 3-7 0-2 0-0 5 0 0 1 6 - -
P.J. Tucker 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 - -
Jordan Nwora 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Sam Merrill 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter