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2021-03-21

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 70.0% 30.0% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 46.0% 54.0% - ✓
Margin 45.4% 54.6% +1.0 ✓ (7.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.9% 53.1% - ✓
Efficiency 47.8% 52.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 44.7% 55.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 44.6% 55.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 42.2% 57.8% - ✓

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +8 (111-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Poole * 38 10-21 3-9 3-3 4 5 1 0 26 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 35 4-14 2-5 10-12 9 2 2 0 20 - -
Draymond Green * 31 2-4 0-0 3-4 8 3 1 1 7 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 28 4-13 1-4 3-5 6 2 0 2 12 - -
Alen Smailagic * 8 1-5 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 24 4-7 3-5 0-0 6 6 3 2 11 - -
Kent Bazemore 22 2-7 1-3 3-4 5 3 1 2 8 - -
Damion Lee 18 1-5 1-4 2-2 3 1 0 0 5 - -
Nico Mannion 12 3-6 1-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 9 - -
Brad Wanamaker 11 0-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Mychal Mulder 9 0-4 0-3 2-2 0 1 0 0 2 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 35 5-20 1-5 3-4 3 8 1 0 14 - -
Grayson Allen * 32 2-9 0-3 2-3 8 2 3 1 6 - -
Kyle Anderson * 29 5-9 2-4 1-1 8 4 0 0 13 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 27 5-10 1-2 8-9 15 1 0 2 19 - -
Dillon Brooks * 26 4-16 3-8 8-8 4 3 0 1 19 - -
Desmond Bane 23 6-10 2-3 1-2 2 2 2 0 15 - -
Brandon Clarke 22 7-9 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 0 16 - -
Justise Winslow 20 2-9 0-5 0-0 8 0 0 0 4 - -
Tyus Jones 12 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 3 2 0 2 - -
De'Anthony Melton 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 1 3 - -

* = starter