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2021-03-20

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 52.4% 47.6% -
Bradley-Terry 42.6% 57.4% -
Margin 45.0% 55.0% +1.1 (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 45.9% 54.1% -
Efficiency 44.2% 55.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.9% 56.1% -
Log Adjusted 43.9% 56.1% -
Points Off/Def 40.8% 59.2% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -5 (94-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 33 6-18 0-7 2-2 3 11 1 0 14 - -
John Collins * 32 11-15 1-2 4-5 16 0 3 3 27 - -
Kevin Huerter * 29 3-11 2-6 0-0 4 1 1 0 8 - -
Clint Capela * 22 4-16 0-0 0-0 16 2 1 1 8 - -
Tony Snell * 19 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 2 1 3 - -
Danilo Gallinari 30 6-12 4-6 2-2 4 3 2 1 18 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 29 4-10 2-6 0-0 0 3 1 1 10 - -
Solomon Hill 18 3-7 3-7 0-0 0 0 1 0 9 - -
Rajon Rondo 14 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 5 0 0 2 - -
Nathan Knight 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dennis Schroder * 34 4-15 0-3 8-9 7 4 2 0 16 - -
Markieff Morris * 27 5-13 2-9 0-0 6 1 1 1 12 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 20 0-5 0-0 0-1 2 0 1 0 0 - -
Damian Jones * 15 1-1 0-0 2-2 9 0 0 0 4 - -
LeBron James * 10 3-6 1-2 3-3 1 4 0 0 10 - -
Kyle Kuzma 36 3-8 1-5 1-2 5 1 1 0 8 - -
Montrezl Harrell 32 10-13 0-0 3-4 11 1 0 1 23 - -
Alex Caruso 20 1-3 1-1 0-2 4 2 1 1 3 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 20 4-12 0-2 1-1 5 4 0 0 9 - -
Wesley Matthews 18 3-5 3-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 9 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter