Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.3% | 36.7% | -3.0 | ✗ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +6 (125-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 40 | 9-14 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 38 | 15-27 | 4-13 | 4-5 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 38 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 35 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 34 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 33 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Wes Iwundu | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 14 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 11 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Covington * | 36 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 34 | 10-19 | 4-10 | 7-7 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 30 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 27 | 11-23 | 7-13 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Enes Kanter * | 23 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Carmelo Anthony | 27 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 27 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Rodney Hood | 22 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter