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2021-03-20

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 36.1% 63.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 33.3% 66.7% - ✓
Margin 34.0% 66.0% +3.7 ✓ (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 33.4% 66.6% - ✓
Efficiency 13.3% 86.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 14.9% 85.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 14.9% 85.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 21.1% 78.9% - ✓

Actual: Phoenix Suns +12 (113-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 36 4-18 3-8 0-0 10 6 1 1 11 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 35 9-12 3-4 3-4 9 1 0 1 24 - -
Ricky Rubio * 33 7-10 3-6 4-5 5 10 0 0 21 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 28 4-11 0-4 0-0 5 0 1 0 8 - -
Josh Okogie * 27 2-6 1-3 0-0 2 1 2 1 5 - -
Jaylen Nowell 22 6-9 2-5 0-1 1 1 2 1 14 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 18 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Jake Layman 12 1-5 0-2 0-0 4 0 1 1 2 - -
Naz Reid 12 1-2 0-0 6-6 2 1 0 1 8 - -
Jarrett Culver 9 2-4 0-1 1-2 0 1 1 0 5 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 35 6-18 1-4 3-4 7 5 2 0 16 - -
Mikal Bridges * 34 7-9 3-4 0-0 6 3 3 0 17 - -
Chris Paul * 33 8-16 1-2 3-3 1 9 0 0 20 - -
Jae Crowder * 28 3-6 3-5 1-1 4 2 1 0 10 - -
Deandre Ayton * 17 3-7 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 0 8 - -
Dario Saric 23 1-4 0-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 - -
Cameron Payne 18 4-8 1-2 2-2 5 4 0 0 11 - -
Abdel Nader 16 4-9 1-2 1-3 3 0 0 1 10 - -
Langston Galloway 15 5-6 4-5 0-0 2 3 1 0 14 - -
Frank Kaminsky 13 2-3 0-1 1-2 1 2 1 0 5 - -
Jalen Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter