Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.1% | 73.9% | +5.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +4 (131-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach LaVine * | 37 | 10-20 | 3-9 | 9-9 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Tomas Satoransky * | 30 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Lauri Markkanen * | 29 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Thaddeus Young * | 28 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Patrick Williams * | 21 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Otto Porter Jr. | 28 | 9-13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Coby White | 28 | 7-13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. | 23 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Denzel Valentine | 20 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Ryan Arcidiacono | 16 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 42 | 14-23 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 34 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 42 | 12-20 | 6-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 41 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 40 | 6-15 | 1-8 | 3-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 33 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 17 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 17 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 10 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
* = starter