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2021-03-20

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 70.0% 30.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 46.0% 54.0% - โœ—
Margin 45.4% 54.6% +1.0 โœ— (14.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.9% 53.1% - โœ—
Efficiency 47.8% 52.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 44.7% 55.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 44.6% 55.4% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 42.2% 57.8% - โœ—

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -13 (103-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Draymond Green * 34 0-6 0-2 2-2 11 13 1 2 2 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 34 14-24 6-11 6-9 8 4 4 0 40 - -
Jordan Poole * 34 10-15 3-6 2-2 2 2 1 0 25 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 28 2-7 0-3 0-0 4 1 1 2 4 - -
Kevon Looney * 20 5-6 1-2 0-0 4 3 3 1 11 - -
Damion Lee 27 8-14 4-8 1-2 5 2 1 1 21 - -
Brad Wanamaker 15 3-7 0-3 1-1 1 0 0 0 7 - -
Nico Mannion 13 0-4 0-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 - -
Kent Bazemore 12 1-3 0-0 1-2 3 2 0 0 3 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 - -
Mychal Mulder 8 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Alen Smailagic 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 29 6-12 0-2 2-4 2 2 0 1 14 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 25 4-7 0-1 2-4 16 4 0 1 10 - -
Dillon Brooks * 24 2-10 0-2 4-4 1 0 3 0 8 - -
Grayson Allen * 24 6-8 2-3 0-0 3 3 1 0 14 - -
Kyle Anderson * 21 2-4 0-1 3-3 3 3 2 0 7 - -
De'Anthony Melton 23 4-9 1-4 0-0 7 1 1 0 9 - -
Brandon Clarke 22 5-9 0-0 3-3 4 0 0 0 13 - -
Tyus Jones 19 0-5 0-2 3-3 1 7 0 0 3 - -
Justise Winslow 15 2-6 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Desmond Bane 15 3-6 2-5 0-0 3 3 1 0 8 - -
Xavier Tillman 5 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 6 - -
Killian Tillie 5 1-4 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 3 3 - -
John Konchar 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 - -

* = starter