Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.4% | 54.6% | +1.0 | ✗ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -13 (103-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draymond Green * | 34 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 23 | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 34 | 14-24 | 6-11 | 6-9 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 40 | 32 | - | |
| Jordan Poole * | 34 | 10-15 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 15 | - | |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 20 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - | |
| Damion Lee | 27 | 8-14 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - | |
| Brad Wanamaker | 15 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - | |
| Nico Mannion | 13 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Kent Bazemore | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - | |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | |
| Mychal Mulder | 8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | |
| Alen Smailagic | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 29 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 24 | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 24 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 24 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - | |
| Kyle Anderson * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton | 23 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 22 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 19 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - | |
| Justise Winslow | 15 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - | |
| Desmond Bane | 15 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - | |
| Killian Tillie | 5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | - | |
| John Konchar | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter