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2021-03-19

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 36.2% 63.8% -
Bradley-Terry 29.4% 70.6% -
Margin 28.7% 71.3% +5.0 (6.0 off)
Pythagorean 40.8% 59.2% -
Efficiency 31.7% 68.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.0% 71.0% -
Log Adjusted 29.0% 71.0% -
Points Off/Def 31.3% 68.7% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +11 (116-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P.J. Washington * 39 7-12 3-4 1-1 8 1 1 4 18 - -
Terry Rozier * 37 8-19 2-6 2-2 5 3 1 0 20 - -
Gordon Hayward * 36 3-8 0-1 1-1 9 10 1 0 7 - -
LaMelo Ball * 33 10-18 2-5 4-5 5 7 1 0 26 - -
Cody Zeller * 11 2-2 0-0 0-4 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Miles Bridges 24 3-6 0-2 0-1 9 2 1 0 6 - -
Devonte' Graham 22 3-8 3-8 3-4 2 3 2 0 12 - -
Bismack Biyombo 13 3-4 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 4 7 - -
Malik Monk 13 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Cody Martin 7 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 5 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 36 14-22 4-9 5-6 8 6 1 1 37 - -
Dennis Schroder * 33 9-19 2-7 2-2 4 7 1 0 22 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 29 3-6 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 1 7 - -
Markieff Morris * 20 3-5 1-2 0-0 6 2 0 1 7 - -
Damian Jones * 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 4 - -
Kyle Kuzma 32 4-12 4-10 0-0 5 3 0 1 12 - -
Alex Caruso 23 1-7 0-2 3-4 5 3 2 0 5 - -
Montrezl Harrell 21 2-6 0-1 3-6 11 0 0 0 7 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 18 5-9 0-2 2-2 1 2 0 0 12 - -
Wesley Matthews 11 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 0 2 1 3 - -

* = starter