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2021-03-19

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 15.9% 84.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 37.4% 62.6% - ✓
Margin 43.1% 56.9% +1.5 ✓ (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.3% 53.7% - ✓
Efficiency 45.8% 54.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 44.6% 55.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 44.7% 55.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 41.3% 58.7% - ✓

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +8 (101-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lonzo Ball * 38 6-15 3-11 0-0 4 8 1 1 15 - -
Zion Williamson * 36 9-17 0-0 8-11 10 3 1 2 26 - -
Brandon Ingram * 34 7-21 3-9 2-2 4 4 0 0 19 - -
Steven Adams * 34 2-3 0-0 2-2 10 2 1 0 6 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 28 3-8 1-4 0-4 3 3 1 1 7 - -
Josh Hart 24 3-5 1-3 2-2 8 0 0 0 9 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 19 2-10 2-8 0-0 3 1 2 1 6 - -
Jaxson Hayes 13 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 10 0-3 0-2 2-2 0 3 0 0 2 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 37 12-22 6-15 6-6 6 0 0 0 36 - -
Robert Covington * 36 4-7 2-5 0-0 10 1 1 2 10 - -
Enes Kanter * 34 4-5 0-0 8-10 13 1 2 0 16 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 32 3-11 1-6 1-2 5 1 2 4 8 - -
CJ McCollum * 20 3-16 3-6 2-2 2 2 1 0 11 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 27 1-11 0-6 1-2 3 2 1 1 3 - -
Carmelo Anthony 23 6-12 2-3 1-1 2 2 0 0 15 - -
Nassir Little 15 0-2 0-2 2-2 6 1 1 1 2 - -
Rodney Hood 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter