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2021-03-19

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 36.1% 63.9% -
Bradley-Terry 33.3% 66.7% -
Margin 34.0% 66.0% +3.7 (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 33.4% 66.6% -
Efficiency 13.3% 86.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.9% 85.1% -
Log Adjusted 14.9% 85.1% -
Points Off/Def 21.1% 78.9% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns -4 (119-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 38 15-31 4-13 8-13 7 3 2 0 42 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 35 15-24 5-7 6-7 10 8 1 0 41 - -
Ricky Rubio * 29 1-5 0-1 4-4 1 5 3 0 6 - -
Jake Layman * 22 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 2 0 2 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt * 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 - -
Jaden McDaniels 26 1-5 0-3 0-2 4 2 2 1 2 - -
Josh Okogie 22 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 21 5-11 2-5 2-4 5 0 2 0 14 - -
Jaylen Nowell 20 3-8 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 1 6 - -
Naz Reid 14 3-5 0-0 4-5 4 1 1 1 10 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 34 13-22 3-8 6-7 4 6 0 1 35 - -
Mikal Bridges * 33 6-10 4-7 1-2 5 8 1 1 17 - -
Jae Crowder * 31 3-9 1-4 0-0 7 1 1 1 7 - -
Chris Paul * 31 7-14 1-4 2-2 7 5 4 0 17 - -
Deandre Ayton * 26 6-8 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 1 14 - -
Dario Saric 21 3-8 1-3 1-2 8 1 0 0 8 - -
Cameron Payne 16 1-3 1-3 0-0 5 5 0 0 3 - -
Langston Galloway 15 4-6 2-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 10 - -
Abdel Nader 14 1-4 1-3 2-4 2 0 0 1 5 - -
Frank Kaminsky 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 - -
Jevon Carter 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -

* = starter