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2021-03-18

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 45.8% 54.2% -
Bradley-Terry 28.1% 71.9% -
Margin 19.3% 80.7% +7.9 (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 30.3% 69.7% -
Efficiency 12.4% 87.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.8% 84.2% -
Log Adjusted 15.7% 84.3% -
Points Off/Def 22.6% 77.4% -

Actual: New York Knicks +1 (94-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Vucevic * 35 8-20 1-6 0-0 16 4 1 2 17 20 -
Evan Fournier * 34 9-21 4-11 1-1 1 4 2 1 23 10 -
Aaron Gordon * 31 6-11 1-2 4-6 5 7 0 0 17 18 -
Chasson Randle * 29 1-4 0-2 3-3 3 3 1 0 5 8 -
Al-Farouq Aminu * 24 2-4 1-3 2-2 6 0 1 1 7 11 -
Dwayne Bacon 26 3-6 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 7 4 -
Khem Birch 23 2-4 0-1 3-4 3 0 1 0 7 7 -
Chuma Okeke 22 2-7 1-3 0-0 9 2 0 0 5 9 -
Mo Bamba 12 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 2 5 6 -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 41 7-15 1-3 2-3 9 1 0 0 17 12 -
Julius Randle * 39 8-20 1-5 1-2 10 17 1 0 18 26 -
Alec Burks * 33 9-18 3-6 0-1 10 2 0 1 21 16 -
Frank Ntilikina * 26 4-9 3-7 2-3 2 1 1 1 13 9 -
Nerlens Noel * 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 2 4 -
Reggie Bullock 35 7-16 6-13 0-0 3 3 3 0 20 13 -
Taj Gibson 31 1-3 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 1 3 7 -
Obi Toppin 8 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
Kevin Knox II 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter