Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.3% | 52.7% | +0.6 | ✓ (22.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +23 (116-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 30 | 8-18 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Aleksej Pokusevski * | 27 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 24 | 3-13 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 23 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 24 | 6-10 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown | 23 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 23 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Theo Maledon | 21 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Svi Mykhailiuk | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Collins * | 29 | 8-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 19 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 25 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 25 | 9-15 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Tony Snell * | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 29 | 9-14 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari | 24 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Solomon Hill | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Rajon Rondo | 18 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Nathan Knight | 11 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Brandon Goodwin | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Skylar Mays | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter