Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.0% | 83.0% | +8.7 | ✓ (16.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +25 (129-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Rozier * | 27 | 7-13 | 3-9 | 4-5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Gordon Hayward * | 25 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 24 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| LaMelo Ball * | 22 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Cody Zeller * | 17 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Miles Bridges | 20 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Cody Martin | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham | 17 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 17 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 7-9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 10 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels | 8 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Vernon Carey Jr. | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nick Richards | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barton * | 32 | 8-15 | 2-8 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 28 | 11-17 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 28 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 28 | 7-13 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 20 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 24 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 22 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 12 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 5 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter