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2021-03-18

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 52.7% 47.3% -
Bradley-Terry 60.5% 39.5% -
Margin 65.9% 34.1% -3.6 (10.4 off)
Pythagorean 58.3% 41.7% -
Efficiency 74.6% 25.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.7% 29.3% -
Log Adjusted 70.7% 29.3% -
Points Off/Def 60.5% 39.5% -

Actual: Houston Rockets -14 (94-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 35 8-16 1-6 2-4 4 1 1 0 19 9 -
Draymond Green * 32 7-8 1-2 1-1 12 10 0 1 16 31 -
Stephen Curry * 30 7-18 2-11 2-2 5 8 1 0 18 14 -
Andrew Wiggins * 27 6-14 3-6 2-2 6 1 1 0 17 11 -
Kevon Looney * 23 3-3 1-1 0-0 6 2 0 2 7 14 -
Jordan Poole 24 8-16 6-11 1-1 1 2 2 0 23 12 -
Damion Lee 20 1-4 1-3 0-0 4 2 0 1 3 6 -
Nico Mannion 17 1-4 1-1 2-2 3 4 1 0 5 9 -
Kent Bazemore 14 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 -1 -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 13 0-4 0-3 0-0 6 1 1 0 0 4 -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Porter Jr. * 36 9-18 3-9 4-8 4 7 3 0 25 21 -
Sterling Brown * 33 1-7 0-5 2-2 5 2 0 0 4 4 -
Jae'Sean Tate * 27 1-9 0-3 0-0 5 2 3 0 2 3 -
Christian Wood * 26 8-12 0-1 5-11 9 2 0 1 21 21 -
Danuel House Jr. * 24 4-8 2-2 1-5 3 1 0 0 11 7 -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 30 5-7 1-1 2-2 9 0 0 0 13 15 -
Anthony Lamb 26 3-7 0-2 3-4 9 1 1 1 9 14 -
Mason Jones 23 1-8 0-2 4-8 4 3 0 1 6 6 -
Justin Patton 11 1-4 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 0 -

* = starter