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2021-03-18

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 42.3% 57.7% -
Margin 39.6% 60.4% +2.3 (9.3 off)
Pythagorean 45.3% 54.7% -
Efficiency 41.2% 58.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.0% 53.0% -
Log Adjusted 47.0% 53.0% -
Points Off/Def 41.9% 58.1% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -7 (99-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dejounte Murray * 39 6-17 0-2 2-2 7 4 0 0 14 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 33 9-11 0-0 2-5 16 1 0 0 20 - -
Derrick White * 32 4-14 2-7 7-7 4 5 0 2 17 - -
Keldon Johnson * 30 5-9 1-2 3-6 3 3 1 1 14 - -
Lonnie Walker IV * 19 5-11 0-4 1-1 2 1 1 0 11 - -
Patty Mills 31 4-11 3-8 3-3 2 3 2 0 14 - -
Devin Vassell 20 1-3 1-3 1-2 6 2 1 0 4 - -
Rudy Gay 17 2-11 1-5 0-0 3 0 0 1 5 - -
Drew Eubanks 13 2-2 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 2 7 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 37 12-21 3-7 2-3 6 6 1 1 29 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 34 3-8 1-3 0-0 2 7 1 0 7 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 33 4-10 2-6 0-0 7 1 0 1 10 - -
Patrick Williams * 32 4-7 2-3 0-0 14 1 0 0 10 - -
Thaddeus Young * 30 8-16 0-0 0-0 8 5 2 1 16 - -
Coby White 22 3-11 1-7 2-2 3 0 2 0 9 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. 17 3-7 0-0 4-4 6 2 0 0 10 - -
Otto Porter Jr. 15 2-5 2-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 6 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Denzel Valentine 7 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter