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2021-03-18

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 51.8% 48.2% -
Margin 59.3% 40.7% -2.1 (9.1 off)
Pythagorean 60.7% 39.3% -
Efficiency 76.1% 23.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 74.1% 25.9% -
Log Adjusted 74.2% 25.8% -
Points Off/Def 62.9% 37.1% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +7 (117-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 39 11-26 2-10 4-8 3 4 2 3 28 - -
Jayson Tatum * 37 11-24 3-13 4-5 5 3 2 1 29 - -
Marcus Smart * 29 5-11 4-9 5-6 3 2 2 0 19 - -
Daniel Theis * 25 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 5 0 0 0 - -
Semi Ojeleye * 19 1-4 1-3 2-2 3 0 0 0 5 - -
Robert Williams III 26 6-7 0-0 1-2 14 3 2 4 13 - -
Grant Williams 22 1-6 0-1 3-4 7 0 0 0 5 - -
Payton Pritchard 18 3-4 0-1 1-2 1 1 1 0 7 - -
Jeff Teague 14 2-5 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 1 4 - -
Carsen Edwards 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Javonte Green 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Garland * 37 9-16 2-5 5-6 4 6 1 0 25 - -
Larry Nance Jr. * 36 7-8 2-3 2-2 10 4 2 1 18 - -
Collin Sexton * 36 10-20 2-5 7-7 7 6 0 0 29 - -
Isaac Okoro * 35 5-10 0-1 5-5 4 2 0 0 15 - -
Jarrett Allen * 33 2-6 0-1 3-6 7 1 0 1 7 - -
Cedi Osman 18 2-5 2-4 4-5 1 3 2 0 10 - -
Dean Wade 16 3-4 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 8 - -
JaVale McGee 11 2-4 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 5 - -
Dylan Windler 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 - -
Quinn Cook 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter