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2021-03-17

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 47.2% 52.8% -
Margin 50.6% 49.4% -0.1 (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 52.2% 47.8% -
Efficiency 59.6% 40.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.2% 40.8% -
Log Adjusted 59.3% 40.7% -
Points Off/Def 51.2% 48.8% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons +4 (116-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Norman Powell * 37 14-18 8-12 7-9 3 0 0 0 43 - -
Kyle Lowry * 35 2-13 0-7 4-4 6 15 3 0 8 - -
Fred VanVleet * 32 2-13 1-7 7-8 1 4 3 0 12 - -
Pascal Siakam * 30 3-11 0-3 7-10 5 3 0 1 13 - -
Chris Boucher * 29 10-16 1-3 0-1 5 3 0 4 21 - -
Aron Baynes 26 4-8 0-3 1-2 5 1 0 1 9 - -
Paul Watson 21 1-3 1-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 3 - -
Matt Thomas 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Stanley Johnson 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Yuta Watanabe 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Saddiq Bey * 38 8-14 6-10 6-6 12 2 2 0 28 - -
Delon Wright * 37 7-12 0-3 4-4 10 8 2 0 18 - -
Jerami Grant * 34 7-16 3-6 6-6 2 2 1 3 23 - -
Frank Jackson * 31 3-7 0-3 1-1 2 0 1 0 7 - -
Mason Plumlee * 24 4-6 0-0 2-4 14 2 0 1 10 - -
Josh Jackson 23 5-8 1-2 5-5 5 6 2 0 16 - -
Isaiah Stewart 23 3-5 2-2 2-4 4 1 0 1 10 - -
Sekou Doumbouya 16 1-6 0-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 - -
Saben Lee 10 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 2 0 0 2 - -

* = starter