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2021-03-17

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 67.4% 32.6% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 44.6% 55.4% - ✓
Margin 51.7% 48.3% -0.4 ✗ (16.4 off)
Pythagorean 36.1% 63.9% - ✓
Efficiency 20.6% 79.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 22.4% 77.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 22.4% 77.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 26.3% 73.7% - ✓

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +16 (137-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 38 11-22 3-7 4-6 4 1 1 0 29 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 35 10-19 2-8 7-9 6 7 1 2 29 - -
Ricky Rubio * 27 8-11 2-5 1-3 2 12 3 0 19 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt * 19 2-4 0-0 4-4 5 0 0 0 8 - -
Jake Layman * 16 2-6 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 2 4 - -
Jaylen Nowell 27 6-10 1-4 0-0 4 4 0 2 13 - -
Jaden McDaniels 22 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 2 0 5 - -
Josh Okogie 20 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 18 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 5 - -
Naz Reid 12 3-8 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 6 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dennis Schroder * 32 5-11 1-1 5-6 1 7 1 0 16 - -
LeBron James * 31 8-14 4-7 5-5 12 12 0 1 25 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 26 2-5 2-4 2-2 3 5 0 0 8 - -
Markieff Morris * 19 4-10 1-3 3-4 7 1 0 0 12 - -
Damian Jones * 16 3-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 1 8 - -
Montrezl Harrell 29 11-16 0-0 3-4 4 6 1 1 25 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 26 6-9 0-1 4-4 7 4 0 0 16 - -
Kyle Kuzma 25 7-12 2-4 0-1 3 1 0 0 16 - -
Wesley Matthews 24 2-5 2-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 6 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 6 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Devontae Cacok 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter