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New Orleans Pelicans 124
@
Portland Trail Blazers 125
2021-03-17

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 15.9% 84.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 37.4% 62.6% - ✓
Margin 43.1% 56.9% +1.5 ✓ (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.3% 53.7% - ✓
Efficiency 45.8% 54.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 44.6% 55.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 44.7% 55.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 41.3% 58.7% - ✓

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +1 (125-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 36 10-22 3-9 7-10 6 2 1 0 30 - -
Lonzo Ball * 35 4-8 3-7 0-0 3 17 2 0 11 - -
Zion Williamson * 32 11-17 0-0 6-6 5 8 1 0 28 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 26 3-9 2-3 3-4 4 3 0 0 11 - -
Steven Adams * 25 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 4 - -
Josh Hart 28 7-13 2-5 0-0 9 2 1 1 16 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 24 7-13 6-9 0-0 5 1 1 1 20 - -
Jaxson Hayes 18 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 4 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 - -
Willy Hernangomez 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 40 13-20 6-13 18-18 6 10 0 0 50 - -
Robert Covington * 37 3-8 3-7 0-0 5 0 3 2 9 - -
Enes Kanter * 27 4-6 0-1 2-2 5 0 1 2 10 - -
CJ McCollum * 26 3-11 2-7 2-2 4 2 0 1 10 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 17 4-4 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 10 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 31 6-10 3-7 7-7 3 1 2 0 22 - -
Carmelo Anthony 30 4-10 1-3 0-0 4 6 2 1 9 - -
Nassir Little 17 0-1 0-1 2-2 4 1 0 2 2 - -
Rodney Hood 10 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter