Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.9% | 74.1% | +5.8 | ✗ (36.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -31 (97-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 30 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 10 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Damian Jones * | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 20 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris * | 15 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma | 28 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Talen Horton-Tucker | 27 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Montrezl Harrell | 25 | 11-14 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 23 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Alfonzo McKinnie | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Devontae Cacok | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draymond Green * | 29 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 29 | 9-17 | 4-7 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 28 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 27 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| James Wiseman | 27 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 20 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Nico Mannion | 18 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Eric Paschall | 18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kent Bazemore | 14 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee | 7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Alen Smailagic | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter