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2021-03-16

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 13.3% 86.7% -
Bradley-Terry 35.6% 64.4% -
Margin 38.1% 61.9% +2.7 (20.3 off)
Pythagorean 42.2% 57.8% -
Efficiency 30.4% 69.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.8% 68.2% -
Log Adjusted 31.8% 68.2% -
Points Off/Def 33.0% 67.0% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +23 (122-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dillon Brooks * 29 6-14 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 13 - -
Kyle Anderson * 28 4-11 0-3 1-2 4 3 1 0 9 - -
Ja Morant * 28 4-12 0-0 7-10 3 4 1 0 15 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 26 11-14 0-1 2-3 17 0 2 0 24 - -
Desmond Bane * 22 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Grayson Allen 23 4-8 2-5 5-5 2 4 2 0 15 - -
Brandon Clarke 19 1-3 0-0 2-4 2 1 1 0 4 - -
De'Anthony Melton 18 1-7 0-3 0-0 3 0 2 0 2 - -
Tyus Jones 15 3-5 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 7 - -
Xavier Tillman 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 4 - -
Sean McDermott 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 - -
John Konchar 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Jontay Porter 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Killian Tillie 3 0-2 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 30 10-19 3-8 4-4 4 5 0 0 27 - -
Jae Crowder * 28 4-11 4-9 2-2 5 1 0 1 14 - -
Deandre Ayton * 28 6-9 0-0 3-3 9 0 2 3 15 - -
Chris Paul * 28 9-11 0-0 0-0 3 7 4 0 18 - -
Mikal Bridges * 26 2-5 0-2 3-4 3 4 1 1 7 - -
Cameron Payne 23 4-7 2-4 3-4 2 4 0 0 13 - -
Langston Galloway 21 3-4 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 6 - -
Dario Saric 20 3-7 1-3 0-0 6 2 0 0 7 - -
Jevon Carter 17 3-6 2-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 8 - -
Frank Kaminsky 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 - -
Jalen Smith 4 1-1 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter